Sydney United 3-0 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.47/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.67
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses 23.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
0W-2D-1L
AWAY NWS Spirit
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.21 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
382 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
09.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 3-2 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
23.04.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 0-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United swept aside NWS Spirit 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sydney United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sydney United and 2.00 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs NWS Spirit?

Sydney United 3-0 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 46%, draw 24%, NWS Spirit 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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