APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+0.8pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.62
-2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.7 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY St George City FA
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
302 Passes 346
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 St George City FA St George City FA 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
27.08.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 2-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
13.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 1-2 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers cruised past St George City FA 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.00 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 58%, draw 18%, St George City FA 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
12 Jun 2024
12:00 Western Sydney W. II vs Central Coast II Analysis →
12:30 Sydney United vs NWS Spirit Analysis →
12:30 Marconi Stallions vs Sydney Olympic Analysis →
12:30 Cooks Hill United vs New Lambton FC Analysis →
12:30 Wollongong Wolves vs Sutherland Sharks Analysis →
12:30 Blacktown City Demons vs Manly United Analysis →