St. George Saints 2-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
48%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+9.0pp
28%
Draw
19%
+9.3pp
47%
Away Win
66%
-18.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 70%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.02
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -53%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
223 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 21.1
Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. George Saints and APIA Leichhardt Tigers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

St. George Saints 2-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 24%, draw 28%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 47%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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