NWS Spirit 1-1 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.86/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.89
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
229 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sydney United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 2.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
295 Passes 382
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 3-0 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
05.03.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-1 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
09.08.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 3-2 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
23.04.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 0-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit and Sydney United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NWS Spirit at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.00 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?

NWS Spirit 1-1 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 41%, draw 28%, Sydney United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NWS Spirit), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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