Croydon Kings 3-2 Adelaide Raiders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.9pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croydon Kings EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.75/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.33
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croydon Kings
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Adelaide Raiders
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
31.01.2025 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 3-2 HT 2-2 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders HAZ
25.05.2024 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 2-1 HT 1-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
24.02.2024 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 4-1 HT 0-1 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
28.08.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 0-2 HT 0-2 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
12.06.2021 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings 1-3 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
31.10.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-0 HT 2-0 Croydon Kings Croydon Kings AVNPL
POST-MATCH Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Raiders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croydon Kings squeezed past Adelaide Raiders 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Croydon Kings as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Croydon Kings and 2.00 for Adelaide Raiders.

What was the final score of Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Raiders?

Croydon Kings 3-2 Adelaide Raiders in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croydon Kings vs Adelaide Raiders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croydon Kings win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Croydon Kings 47%, draw 21%, Adelaide Raiders 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croydon Kings), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Croydon Kings) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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