O Connor Knights 1-4 Canberra FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.3pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 52%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.96/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.79
+29% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +72%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME O Connor Knights
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Canberra FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
17.08.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
22.06.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
05.05.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-3 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
23.09.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 1-1 HT 1-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
22.07.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
28.05.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC swept aside O Connor Knights 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for O Connor Knights and 1.50 for Canberra FC.

What was the final score of O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

O Connor Knights 1-4 Canberra FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for O Connor Knights vs Canberra FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split O Connor Knights 27%, draw 23%, Canberra FC 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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