Clarence Zebras 1-2 Launceston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-14.1pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Launceston United EU Bookmakers 22%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.08/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clarence Zebras
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Launceston United
3.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Launceston United Launceston United 3-1 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
22.06.2024 Launceston United Launceston United 1-3 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
13.04.2024 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
19.08.2023 Launceston United Launceston United 1-2 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
15.04.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 6-1 Launceston United Launceston United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Launceston United edged past Clarence Zebras 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Clarence Zebras at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Clarence Zebras had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.60 goals for Clarence Zebras and 1.40 for Launceston United.

What was the final score of Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United?

Clarence Zebras 1-2 Launceston United in the Australia - National Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clarence Zebras win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Clarence Zebras 53%, draw 24%, Launceston United 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Clarence Zebras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clarence Zebras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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