Hume City 1-2 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 52%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.43/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.63
-12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
257 Passes 460
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2023 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
04.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 2-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
11.06.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 4-3 HT 0-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
12.03.2022 Hume City Hume City 0-3 HT 0-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
08.05.2021 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-3 HT 1-2 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights edged past Hume City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Hume City and 2.80 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Avondale Heights?

Hume City 1-2 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hume City 32%, draw 20%, Avondale Heights 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5
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