Smiltene 1-4 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.95
Draw
12%
5.71
Away
79%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.73
No
33%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
33%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
10%
-0.7pp
12%
Draw
15%
-2.6pp
79%
Away Win
76%
+3.2pp
67%
BTTS Yes
54%
+12.8pp
33%
BTTS No
46%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 80%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.33/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.58
+28% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +84%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
252 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 494 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
12.04.2026 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 4-0 HT 1-0 Smiltene Smiltene LET1
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS cruised past Smiltene 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?

Smiltene 1-4 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 9%, draw 12%, Valmiera / BSS 79%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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