Melbourne Srbija 1-0 North Geelong Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.66
Draw
13%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
55%
+8.4pp
13%
Draw
22%
-8.9pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.42/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/2.44
-41% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Srbija
0W-0D-1L
AWAY North Geelong Warriors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.02.2026 North Geelong Warriors North Geelong Warriors 2-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija AVPL1
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija edged past North Geelong Warriors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Srbija as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong Warriors?

Melbourne Srbija 1-0 North Geelong Warriors in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs North Geelong Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Srbija win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 64%, draw 13%, North Geelong Warriors 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Srbija) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Srbija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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