Mafra 5-0 Vitoria De Sernache — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria De Sernache EU Bookmakers 22%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+37% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
5-0
AWAY Vitoria De Sernache
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Vitoria De Sernache
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra ran out comfortable winners over Vitoria De Sernache 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mafra as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 17-11.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Vitoria De Sernache?

Mafra 5-0 Vitoria De Sernache in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Vitoria De Sernache?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mafra 46%, draw 22%, Vitoria De Sernache 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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