Sporting Covilha 2-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.90/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.25
-26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
23.08.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
29.03.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
09.03.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
25.01.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-1 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
26.10.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
2-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha beat Uniao Santarem 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Sporting Covilha made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.83 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem?

Sporting Covilha 2-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 32%, draw 30%, Uniao Santarem 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uniao Santarem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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