Sporting Covilha 3-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.33/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.00
+3% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
3-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha got the better of Uniao Santarem 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sporting Covilha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 52% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 48%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem?

Sporting Covilha 3-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 33%, draw 28%, Uniao Santarem 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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