Uniao Santarem 0-1 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
0-1
AWAY Sporting Covilha
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha edged past Uniao Santarem 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Uniao Santarem at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 61% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 39%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha?

Uniao Santarem 0-1 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 46%, draw 26%, Sporting Covilha 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uniao Santarem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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