Anadia 1-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

Anadia
1-1 HT 1-0
Fafe
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.30/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.48
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fafe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
03.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 0-4 HT 0-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
12.11.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-3 HT 1-2 Anadia Anadia POR3
12.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.02.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
05.11.2022 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-1
AWAY Fafe
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia and Fafe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Anadia had 43% of the ball to Fafe's 57%, shots finished 3-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Anadia and 1.83 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Fafe?

Anadia 1-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Anadia 36%, draw 28%, Fafe 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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