Anadia 0-4 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Mar 2024

Anadia
0-4 HT 0-2
Fafe
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Anadia vs Fafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Anadia v Fafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.44/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.25
+12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4

Anadia vs Fafe Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Fafe
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-3 HT 1-2 Anadia Anadia POR3
12.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.02.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
05.11.2022 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
02.10.2022 Fafe Fafe 1-2 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POK

Anadia 0-4 Fafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
0-4
AWAY Fafe
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe ran out comfortable winners over Anadia 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Fafe found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Anadia had 59% of the ball to Fafe's 41%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Anadia and 1.40 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Fafe?

Anadia 0-4 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Anadia 40%, draw 27%, Fafe 32%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Anadia) ✗ Under 2.5
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