Academica 0-3 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.70
-63% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
0-3
AWAY Sporting Braga II
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academica vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II ran out comfortable winners over Academica 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Academica had 60% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 40%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Academica vs Sporting Braga II?

Academica 0-3 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica 41%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga II 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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