Sanjoanense 1-1 Canelas 2010 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Canelas 2010 EU Bookmakers 46%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.13/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Canelas 2010
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
12.08.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
11.02.2023 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 2-3 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
30.10.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 2-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POR3
11.10.2020 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Canelas 2010 Canelas 2010 POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-1
AWAY Canelas 2010
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Canelas 2010
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Canelas 2010 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Canelas 2010 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 48% of the ball to Canelas 2010's 52%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.20 for Canelas 2010.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Canelas 2010?

Sanjoanense 1-1 Canelas 2010 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Canelas 2010?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canelas 2010 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 33%, draw 26%, Canelas 2010 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Canelas 2010), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canelas 2010) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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