Vianense 1-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vianense EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 51%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vianense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Trofense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.12.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 0-1 Vianense Vianense POR3
26.08.2023 Vianense Vianense 0-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vianense
1-1
AWAY Trofense
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vianense vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vianense and Trofense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vianense had 47% of the ball to Trofense's 53%, shots finished 16-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vianense and 1.00 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Vianense vs Trofense?

Vianense 1-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vianense vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vianense 26%, draw 33%, Trofense 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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