Fafe 1-0 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Fafe
1-0 HT 1-0
Anadia
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
0.61/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.58
-55% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Anadia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 0-4 HT 0-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
12.11.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-3 HT 1-2 Anadia Anadia POR3
12.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.02.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
05.11.2022 Fafe Fafe 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
02.10.2022 Fafe Fafe 1-2 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-0
AWAY Anadia
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe edged past Anadia 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Fafe made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fafe had 43% of the ball to Anadia's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fafe and 1.17 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Anadia?

Fafe 1-0 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fafe 38%, draw 26%, Anadia 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fafe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fafe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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