Trofense 1-0 Vianense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vianense EU Bookmakers 28%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.45
-63% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Vianense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Vianense Vianense 1-1 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
09.12.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 0-1 Vianense Vianense POR3
26.08.2023 Vianense Vianense 0-1 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-0
AWAY Vianense
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Vianense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense edged past Vianense 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Trofense had 55% of the ball to Vianense's 45%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trofense had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trofense and 0.67 for Vianense.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Vianense?

Trofense 1-0 Vianense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Vianense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trofense 47%, draw 26%, Vianense 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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