Varzim 2-0 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
24%
+11.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.29/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.20
-2% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.02.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
08.11.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POK
29.10.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
2-0
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim got the better of Sao Joao Ver 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Varzim made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Varzim had 44% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 56%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Varzim and 0.75 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver?

Varzim 2-0 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Varzim 37%, draw 28%, Sao Joao Ver 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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