Lusitania 2-2 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
20%
+12.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-13.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 60%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.74/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.13
-37% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-0 HT 0-0 Lusitania Lusitania POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
2-2
AWAY Sporting CP II
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania and Sporting CP II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitania had 51% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Sporting CP II?

Lusitania 2-2 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 32%, draw 25%, Sporting CP II 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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