Dezembro 1-1 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.15/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.81
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Caldas
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
04.05.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
18.02.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
11.11.2023 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 1-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
13.08.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 3-2 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-1
AWAY Caldas
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro and Caldas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Dezembro had 47% of the ball to Caldas's 53%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dezembro and 1.60 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Caldas?

Dezembro 1-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 37%, draw 29%, Caldas 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dezembro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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