Sporting Covilha 0-1 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.24/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.54
-2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 3-1 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
26.10.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-1
AWAY Uniao Santarem
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem edged past Sporting Covilha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Uniao Santarem made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 53% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 47%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Covilha and 0.50 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem?

Sporting Covilha 0-1 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 36%, draw 27%, Uniao Santarem 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao Santarem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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