Amarante 2-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.48/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
-62% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
2-0
AWAY Atletico CP
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante saw off Atletico CP 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Amarante found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amarante had 44% of the ball to Atletico CP's 56%, shots finished 10-13.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Atletico CP?

Amarante 2-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amarante 35%, draw 32%, Atletico CP 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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