Varzim 1-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.26
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
223 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
1-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim and Sporting CP II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Varzim at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Varzim had 61% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 39%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Sporting CP II?

Varzim 1-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Varzim 43%, draw 24%, Sporting CP II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Varzim), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
9 Mar 2025
18:00 Amarante vs Atletico CP Analysis →
18:00 Fafe vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →
18:00 Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Covilha vs Uniao Santarem Analysis →
19:00 Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas Analysis →
20:30 Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver Analysis →