Oliveira Hospital 3-0 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.82/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.61
+41% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Caldas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-2 HT 0-2 Caldas Caldas POR3
24.08.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 2-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
28.04.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
25.02.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 3-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.12.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
03.09.2023 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
3-0
AWAY Caldas
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital ran out comfortable winners over Caldas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Oliveira Hospital found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 41% of the ball to Caldas's 59%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 1.33 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas?

Oliveira Hospital 3-0 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 36%, draw 28%, Caldas 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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