Trofense 3-0 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.92/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.33
-29% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
15.09.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
3-0
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense swept aside Sao Joao Ver 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trofense had 53% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 47%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Trofense and 1.00 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Trofense 3-0 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trofense 43%, draw 25%, Sao Joao Ver 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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