Trofense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Sep 2024

Trofense
1-1 HT 1-1
Sao Joao Ver
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trofense v Sao Joao Ver — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.60/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.25
-53% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Trofense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
1-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense and Sao Joao Ver shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Trofense had 51% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 49%, shots finished 15-11.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Trofense 1-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trofense 41%, draw 29%, Sao Joao Ver 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trofense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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