Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania 1-0 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania squeezed past Sporting Covilha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Lusitania made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Lusitania had 55% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 45%, shots finished 13-19.
What was the final score of Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha?
Lusitania 1-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 36%, draw 30%, Sporting Covilha 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.