CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.90/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.78
+30% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
15.01.2023 CF Os Belenenses 4-1 HT 2-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
2-1
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses edged past Oliveira Hospital 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 36% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 64%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveira Hospital?

CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 48%, draw 27%, Oliveira Hospital 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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