Sanjoanense 1-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.05
-21% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
27.10.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-2 HT 2-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-4 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
15.09.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.02.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
13.11.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Sporting Braga II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 56% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 44%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 2.17 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II?

Sanjoanense 1-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 33%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga II 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5
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