Sanjoanense 2-4 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 53%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.22/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+7% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.02.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
13.11.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-4
AWAY Sporting Braga II
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II got the better of Sanjoanense 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 40% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 60%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.67 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II?

Sanjoanense 2-4 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 30%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga II 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
7 Jan 2024
18:00 Anadia vs Vianense Analysis →
18:00 Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital Analysis →
18:00 Atletico CP vs Alverca Analysis →
20:30 Sporting CP II vs Dezembro Analysis →
22:30 Caldas vs Academica Analysis →