Sporting CP II 2-0 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 17%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.67/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
-1% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-0
AWAY Dezembro
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II beat Dezembro 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 53% of the ball to Dezembro's 47%, shots finished 18-4.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Dezembro?

Sporting CP II 2-0 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 54%, draw 21%, Dezembro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ BTTS No
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