Atletico CP 3-1 Alverca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alverca EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.76/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.58
-40% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Alverca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.09.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-0 HT 0-0 Alverca Alverca POK
17.09.2023 Alverca Alverca 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
3-1
AWAY Alverca
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Alverca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP beat Alverca 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Atletico CP found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 38% of the ball to Alverca's 62%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico CP and 0.50 for Alverca.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Alverca?

Atletico CP 3-1 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Alverca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 40%, draw 25%, Alverca 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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