Caldas vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caldas v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Caldas vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Caldas
POR3
0-2
HT 0-1
Academica
POR3
2-1
HT 0-1
Caldas
POR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Academica
POR3
1-4
HT 0-1
Caldas
POR3
Caldas 1-2 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Academica nicked a narrow win over Caldas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Caldas at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Caldas had 54% of the ball to Academica's 46%, shots finished 14-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Caldas and 1.00 for Academica.
What was the final score of Caldas vs Academica?
Caldas 1-2 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caldas vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caldas 42%, draw 25%, Academica 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caldas), Under 2.5 went the other way.