Pero Pinheiro 1-0 Oliveira Hospital — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.74
Over 2.5
33%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-6.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
54%
+13.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
46%
-13.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 528 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pero Pinheiro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
17.09.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 1-1 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pero Pinheiro
1-0
AWAY Oliveira Hospital
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pero Pinheiro edged past Oliveira Hospital 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oliveira Hospital at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Pero Pinheiro had 53% of the ball to Oliveira Hospital's 47%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital?

Pero Pinheiro 1-0 Oliveira Hospital in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pero Pinheiro vs Oliveira Hospital?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pero Pinheiro 27%, draw 31%, Oliveira Hospital 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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