Sporting Braga II 2-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 21%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.20/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.01
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-4 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
15.09.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.02.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
13.11.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Sanjoanense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 55% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.25 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense?

Sporting Braga II 2-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 52%, draw 30%, Sanjoanense 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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