Academica 1-0 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.52/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.42
-61% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
0W-1D-0L
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.12.2022 Academica Academica 1-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-0
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academica vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica nicked a narrow win over CF Os Belenenses 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Academica had 51% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 49%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Academica vs CF Os Belenenses?

Academica 1-0 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Academica 42%, draw 25%, CF Os Belenenses 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
27 Oct 2024
14:00 Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Trofense Analysis →
14:30 Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense Analysis →
18:00 Amarante vs Vilaverdense Analysis →
18:00 Caldas vs Dezembro Analysis →