Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.01/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.34
+60% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Trofense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.01.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-3 HT 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
16.09.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-1 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania FC Lourosa
1-1
AWAY Trofense
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania FC Lourosa and Trofense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 58% of the ball to Trofense's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lusitania FC Lourosa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lusitania FC Lourosa and 1.00 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Trofense?

Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 40%, draw 29%, Trofense 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
27 Oct 2024
14:30 Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense Analysis →
18:00 Amarante vs Vilaverdense Analysis →
18:00 Caldas vs Dezembro Analysis →
20:30 Academica vs CF Os Belenenses Analysis →