Amarante 1-0 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 20%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.00
-100% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +45%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-0
AWAY Vilaverdense
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante edged past Vilaverdense 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Amarante had 53% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 47%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Vilaverdense?

Amarante 1-0 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Amarante 52%, draw 24%, Vilaverdense 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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