Sanjoanense 2-2 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 59%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.57/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.60
-54% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.10.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-2 HT 2-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-4 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
15.09.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
25.02.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
13.11.2022 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-2
AWAY Sporting Braga II
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and Sporting Braga II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 54% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 46%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sanjoanense and 2.20 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II?

Sanjoanense 2-2 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 26%, draw 22%, Sporting Braga II 52%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II)
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