Fafe 1-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Jan 2025

Fafe
1-1 HT 0-0
Anadia
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.56
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Anadia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
06.04.2024 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
03.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 0-4 HT 0-2 Fafe Fafe POR3
12.11.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-3 HT 1-2 Anadia Anadia POR3
12.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
18.02.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-1 Fafe Fafe POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
1-1
AWAY Anadia
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 29
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe and Anadia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fafe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fafe had 36% of the ball to Anadia's 64%, shots finished 7-29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fafe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Fafe and 0.83 for Anadia.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Anadia?

Fafe 1-1 Anadia in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fafe 42%, draw 26%, Anadia 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fafe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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