Vilaverdense 0-1 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.0pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilaverdense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amarante
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 1-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
0-1
AWAY Amarante
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante squeezed past Vilaverdense 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 48% of the ball to Amarante's 52%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs Amarante?

Vilaverdense 0-1 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 28%, draw 27%, Amarante 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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