Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Joao Ver v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Sao Joao Ver
POR3
0-1
HT 0-0
Sao Joao Ver
POR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Sao Joao Ver
POK
1-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR3
Sao Joao Ver 4-1 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Joao Ver ran out comfortable winners over Varzim 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sao Joao Ver found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 53% of the ball to Varzim's 47%, shots finished 13-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 0.80 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?
Sao Joao Ver 4-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated an Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 32%, draw 32%, Varzim 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.