Oliveira Hospital 1-2 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.63
+51% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Caldas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Caldas Caldas 2-1 HT 2-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
28.04.2024 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
25.02.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 3-1 HT 1-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
17.12.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-1 HT 1-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
03.09.2023 Caldas Caldas 1-1 HT 1-1 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
07.01.2023 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 2-2 HT 2-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1-2
AWAY Caldas
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas edged past Oliveira Hospital 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Oliveira Hospital at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 49% of the ball to Caldas's 51%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oliveira Hospital had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 1.33 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas?

Oliveira Hospital 1-2 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 46%, draw 26%, Caldas 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✗ BTTS No
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