Trofense 3-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +26%
1.11/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
-27% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-2 HT 0-1 Trofense Trofense POR3
04.05.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
17.02.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-3 HT 0-2 Trofense Trofense POR3
05.11.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 3-2 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
08.08.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
3-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense squeezed past Sanjoanense 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trofense had 55% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 45%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Trofense had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Trofense and 1.00 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sanjoanense?

Trofense 3-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trofense 47%, draw 25%, Sanjoanense 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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