Varzim vs Sporting Braga II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Sporting Braga II — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Sporting Braga II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Varzim
POR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Braga II
POR3
1-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga II
POR3
Varzim 1-0 Sporting Braga II — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim squeezed past Sporting Braga II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Varzim had 55% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 45%, shots finished 9-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Varzim and 0.83 for Sporting Braga II.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Sporting Braga II?
Varzim 1-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sporting Braga II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Varzim 42%, draw 25%, Sporting Braga II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.