Sporting Braga II vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga II v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga II vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Varzim
POR3
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Braga II
POR3
1-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Braga II
POR3
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga II
POR2
Sporting Braga II 2-1 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga II squeezed past Varzim 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Braga II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sporting Braga II had 54% of the ball to Varzim's 46%, shots finished 8-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.00 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Varzim?
Sporting Braga II 2-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 43%, draw 29%, Varzim 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.